Modelling Urban Growth

City: Kathmandu , Nepal
Organization: Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente , Netherland
Project Start Date: August 2011
Project End Date: February 2013
Reference: Duwal, Sunita ( 2013 ) Modelling urban growth in Kathmandu Valley. Thapa & Murayama ( 2010 ) Drivers of urban growth in the Kathmandu Valley, Nepal: Examining the efficacy of the analytic hierarchy process. Haack & Rafter ( 2006 ) Urban Growth Analysis and Modeling in the Kathmandu Valley, Nepal. Hu & Lo ( 2007 ) Modeling urban growth in Atlanta using logistic regression
Problem: Rapid Urban growth, lack of effective planning and infrastructure deficit
Technical Solution: Spatio-Temporal and Logistic Regression model used to predict the strenght and direction of growth
Datasets Used:
  • Data points and Coordinates by Hand held GPS, Field Survey 2012
  • Landsat Images from USGS , WGS 84 for 1989,1999, 2010.
  • Images Orthorectified, Ikonos and Worldview from Kathmandu Valley Town Development Committee
  • Vector data by Department of Survey(DOS) and KVTDC for year 1995 & 2008.
  • Statistical Data from CBS ( Central Bureau of Statistic ) for year 1991,1999,2001,2010 and 2011.
Outcome: Prediction model of Urban growth for year 2021 & 2032
Issues that arose: Lack of Data availability of 1989 for LR Model, LR Expansion model have low PCP value of 22% for built-up area.
Status: Terminated
Entered by: Date:November 05,2017 Waqar Ahmed, waqar.ahmed@mail.utoronto.ca


CEM1002,
Civil Engineering, University of Toronto
Contact: msf@eil.utoronto.ca